Polymarket could be the greatest AIRDROP in history with $HYPE!
EASY way to farm it and qualify 👇
@Polymarket is a blockchain prediction market platform that has already raised over $100M and is finalizing a $200M round at a $1B valuation!
Top AIRDROP farmers like @DefiIgnas, @CC2Ventures, and @DidiTrading have it as a TOP priority!
Now let's see how to farm it!
STEPS
- Go to , click Sign UP and choose your wallet.
- Click Deposit and choose the option that you prefer. I recommend using USDC from Polygon for the lowest fees, but you can choose any asset in your wallet and it will convert it.
Now strategies 👇
STRATEGY 1:
- Bet on markets where NO or YES are almost impossible to miss. You won't win much but create a lot of Volume.
For example: What price will Bitcoin hit in June?
- I bet on No on 60k (that BTC won't hit 60k), as the chances to miss are almost 0 (only 2 days left)
Strategy 2:
- Bet on markets where you think you have some knowledge about it, or if some news just came out and the odds haven’t moved yet.
Could be about Crypto Market, Airdrops, Politics, Sports & More! This is the most organic option.
Strategy 3: Burn $ to create volume
- Bet on markets with decided outcomes but open windows, like an election already won, where you still bet on someone else ($10 for $10k vol)
Not my favorite option, but it could be yours if you think Poly airdrop is criminally underrated.
9 months ago @0x_antifragile calculated that only around 10k users had 10k volume or more!
It hasn't changed much, so $POLY farming is definitely underrated đź‘€
Polymarket is reportedly thinking about launching a token, pretty bored so decided to model a potential airdrop assuming snapshot just has been taken:
ASSUMPTIONS:
FDV: $5B (this might seem high, but Polymarket is currently the only crypto product with significant traction in the real world. The company is also in discussions to raise additional capital, aiming to bring its total funding to around $150M).
Airdrop supply: 5% (industry standard) -> $250M airdrop
Snapshot: just now, before the leak.
POLYMARKET METRICS:
Total volume: $2B
Total unique users: 250k
Avg volume: $8000
AIRDROP MODELLING:
Linear with volume -> 250M/2B = 12.5cents per dollar
Tiered airdrop:
Buckets are as follows:
< $100: 47344 users
$10-1k: 41585
$1k-10k: 36364
$10k-100k: 8916
$100k+: 1537
Doing some chatgpt magic coz im too lazy to do the math myself, one potential distribution could look like this:
< $100: 47344 users, $500 per user
$10-1k: 41585, $1500 per user
$1k-10k: 36364, $3500 per user
$10k-100k: 8916, $6000 per user
$100k+: 1537, $15000 per user
/one interesting observation is that linear approach seems to work better only for volumes higher than $125k (around 1500users), I was pretty shocked to see that polymarket has been hardly sybilled at all, only 15k users wagered less than 10usd.
// beyond the scope of this tweet, but if I had to guess linear-ish distribution would be more likely imo. And finally, if you disagree with my FDV, airdrop % assumptions, just plug in your numbers.
Dune receipts below:
That's it, AIRDROP could be HUGE! Bet more on markets with a lot of Volume & do not wash trade (buy or sell right away)!
Great accounts to be following for ALPHA:
@mztacat
@Zun2025
@fipcrypto
@phtevenstrong
@0xFastLife
@KashKysh
@MingoAirdrop
@katexbt
@Picolas_Caged
@Route2FI
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