The Bitcoin price action from late May to late June displayed an ultra-clean HTF bullish 3 drives pattern, with the third tap occurring at the most significant local liquidity area around $98,500, effectively taking out nearly the entire FVG left behind at the beginning of May.
This final tap was particularly relevant, as it aligned with two key factors: it was delivered on major news flow (war escalation) and confirmed by an immaculate failed auction, a clear sign that the market strongly rejected lower prices.
This trapped late sellers (âwar escalating, BTC going way lowerâ) and fueled a powerful reversal.
What makes this reversal different from previous upward impulses is the context: it occurred while majors were also sweeping their own significant local levels. (missing ETH, not necessary though)
Technically, this provides enough momentum and structural integrity to sustain price action and avoid another fake breakout.
If we see a strong burst and acceptance above the next critical highs at $110,765/$111,965, Iâll be looking for a push into $114,000, followed by a potential correction and another impulse toward $120K.
That $120K zone remains my primary target for a full BTC scale out, as price would then be trading at an extreme premium with a highly unfavorable risk/reward ratio.
At that point, USDT D. nearing the 4% area will start to play a critical role, possibly indicating a shift in flow.
There are multiple bullish targets and liquidity zones around that region, so Iâll be increasingly cautious, looking for at least partial but consistent TPs, while watching for relative PO3 models to develop.
This scenario becomes increasingly likely as long as we hold the EQ of the HTF range, which stands at 105.000.
Lower levels?
It's possible, especially in the high 101s/102s that could be picked fast, but it's important to preserve those regions and not start closing below, otherwise the risk for seeing the 90s will start to increase substantially. (thus likely offering another powerful bounce across the board in my opinion)
As mentioned on June 9th, I still hold the view that weâre setting up for a bullish swing on altcoins, supported by the correlated conditions on BTC D, T2, OTHERS, and the structure being built on ETH.
There are several liquidity magnets above that could drag up prices and if the thesis plays out as expected, these upside targets are well within reach.
Regardless, I personally think there's not much time left and everything should move in the next 2 months.
12.86K
278
The content on this page is provided by third parties. Unless otherwise stated, OKX is not the author of the cited article(s) and does not claim any copyright in the materials. The content is provided for informational purposes only and does not represent the views of OKX. It is not intended to be an endorsement of any kind and should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell digital assets. To the extent generative AI is utilized to provide summaries or other information, such AI generated content may be inaccurate or inconsistent. Please read the linked article for more details and information. OKX is not responsible for content hosted on third party sites. Digital asset holdings, including stablecoins and NFTs, involve a high degree of risk and can fluctuate greatly. You should carefully consider whether trading or holding digital assets is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.